Publication:
Does certification change the trajectory of tree cover in working forests in the tropics? An application of the synthetic control method of impact evaluation

dc.contributor.authorRana, P.
dc.contributor.authorSills, Erin O.
dc.date.accessioned2022-01-23T18:55:13Z
dc.date.available2022-01-23T18:55:13Z
dc.identifier.urihttps://open.fsc.org/handle/resource/527
dc.languageen
dc.rightsPublic
dc.rightsOpen access
dc.titleDoes certification change the trajectory of tree cover in working forests in the tropics? An application of the synthetic control method of impact evaluationen
dcterms.abstractCertification by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) remains rare among forest management units (FMUs) in natural tropical forests, presenting a challenge for impact evaluation. We demonstrate application of the synthetic control method (SCM) to evaluate the impact of FSC certification on a single FMU in each of three tropical forest landscapes. Specifically, we estimate causal effects on tree cover change from the year of certification to 2012 using SCM and open-access, pan-tropical datasets. We demonstrate that it is possible to construct synthetic controls, or weighted combinations of non-certified FMUs, that followed the same path of tree cover change as the certified FMUs before certification. By using these synthetic controls to measure counterfactual tree cover change after certification, we find that certification reduced tree cover loss in the most recent year (2012) in all three landscapes. However, placebo tests show that in one case, this effect was not significant, and in another case, it followed several years in which certification had the opposite effect (increasing tree cover loss). We conclude that SCM has promise for identifying temporally varying impacts of small-N interventions on land use and land cover change.en
dcterms.accessRightsPublic
dcterms.accessRightsOpen access
dcterms.bibliographicCitationRana, P., and E. O. Sills, 'Does Certification Change the Trajectory of Tree Cover in Working Forests in the Tropics? An Application of the Synthetic Control Method of Impact Evaluation', Forests, vol. 9, no. 98, 2018, pp. 1-15.en
dcterms.issued2018
dcterms.otherRana, P., and E. O. Sills, 'Does Certification Change the Trajectory of Tree Cover in Working Forests in the Tropics? An Application of the Synthetic Control Method of Impact Evaluation', Forests, vol. 9, no. 98, 2018, pp. 1-15.
dcterms.typeJournal Article
dspace.entity.typePublication
fsc.evidenceCategoryFSC effect-related studies
fsc.focus.forestType(not yet curated)
fsc.focus.forestZoneTropical
fsc.focus.subtopicsForest loss
fsc.focus.sustainDimensionEnvironmental
fsc.focus.tenureManagement(not yet curated)
fsc.focus.tenureOwnership(not yet curated)
fsc.focus.topicsForest cover
fsc.issue.environmentalForest cover
fsc.subjectLandscape approaches
fsc.subjectDeforestation
fsc.subjectTree cover loss
is.availability.fullTextFull text available
is.contributor.funderTypePrivate
is.contributor.memberForest Stewardship Council
is.coverage.countryBrazil
is.coverage.countryIndonesia
is.coverage.countryGabon
is.coverage.countryAlpha2BR
is.coverage.countryAlpha2ID
is.coverage.countryAlpha2GA
is.coverage.geographicLevelSite
is.coverage.latitude-4.375701
is.coverage.longitude-53.321842
is.coverage.placePara
is.coverage.regionSouth America
is.coverage.regionAsia
is.coverage.regionAfrica
is.evaluation.collectionRemote sensing
is.evaluation.comparisonTreatment vs Control
is.evaluation.counterfactsYes
is.evaluation.dataSourceGeospatial data layers
is.evaluation.dataSourcePrivate company data
is.evaluation.significanceStatistically significant
is.evidenceResourceTypePrimary
is.evidenceSubTypeData collected post-intervention
is.evidenceTypeComparative study with matched control
is.focus.productsForestry products
is.focus.sdgSDG 15 - Life on Land
is.focus.sectorsAgriculture
is.focus.sectorsForestry
is.focus.sustainDimensionEnvironmental
is.focus.sustainIssueForests and other ecosystems
is.focus.sustainLensLandscape approaches
is.focus.sustainOutcomeDeforestation and forest protection
is.focus.systemElementMandE outcomes and impacts
is.focus.systemElementMandE performance monitoring
is.identifier.codeImpacts
is.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.3390/f9030098
is.identifier.fscdoihttp://dx.doi.org/10.34800/fsc-international514
is.identifier.schemeNameForest Stewardship Council
is.identifier.schemeTypeVoluntary Sustainability Standards
is.item.reviewStatusPeer reviewed
is.journalNameForests
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